Today, may 4, the national Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has established such rates of major foreign currencies against the hryvnia:
USD 1 – UAH 26, and 52;
1 Euro – 28,96 UAH;
10 Russian rubles – UAH 4,66.
Thus, the dollar, compared to yesterday’s values fell by four pennies back in the fall. Lower 26,6 USD dollar did not fall from the beginning of January 2017.
The Euro fell to seven cents, once again, becoming below 29 UAH. The Russian ruble is “thin” and two pennies.
On Tuesday, may 3, the dollar on the interbank currency market of Ukraine decreased by seven cents in the sale and purchase. The auction ended with quotes 26,48 – 26,51 UAH/USD. Today’s auction has not started yet.
As experts explain, the main reason for continuing with January strengthening of the hryvnia – the excess of foreign currency supply over demand, which provides a favorable external environment for the main export commodities. Thus, according to experts, the hryvnia exchange rate in the cash market in may can be in the range of 26 to 27.5 UAH per dollar. But in the case of a negative scenario associated with the influence of external factors, the rate can go into the higher price range is 27.5 – 29 UAH per dollar.
We will remind, the head of the NBU Valeria Gontareva confirmed its resignation. May 10 the Central Bank may be a new leader. Before that the statement of the head of the NBU must be signed by the President, and after that the document must be approved by the Parliament. Analysts believe that despite the personnel changes at the NBU, the hryvnia will continue until the trend to strengthen.
- In 2017, the Finance Ministry of Ukraine expects the rate of 27,2 USD per dollar. The head of the NBU Valeria Gontareva considers budgeted-2017 the dollar is realistic. At the same time 2017-1018 year, according to calculations of the Ministry of economy, the dollar could jump up to 35 UAH;
- For 2015 , the hryvnia depreciated by half, and for 2016 , the hryvnia depreciated by 12.9%, entering the TOP 3 of the weakest currencies of the CIS;
- According to the “big Mac index” , the dollar in Ukraine has to cost a little more than 8 UAH;
- The historical maximum the official rate of the dollar – 30.01 UAH/USD. – was made in Feb 2015.