“Norman talks”: what can be expected after the statements of the trump of Russia’s takeover of Crimea

The key foreign policy event for Ukraine this week will be the meeting of foreign Ministers “channel four”, which will take place against the background of recent statements of the President of the United States Donald trump that Crimea should return to Ukraine. “Today” has learned that behind the big words from America and dealt with the issues that will be discussed by the Ministers.

TRAMPAS? “President trump has made it clear that he expects Russia’s assistance to de-escalate the situation in Ukraine and the return of the Crimea”, — sensationally made on Tuesday, the speaker of the White house Sean Spicer. He stressed that trump takes a tough stance against Russia, continuing to raise the issue of the annexation of the Peninsula. Statement of the U.S. official caused a media bombshell, but particularly acute in his words he responded to the deputies of the state Duma and representatives of other branches of the Russian establishment. It turned out that in Russia, from love to hate — one trump. So, a member of Russian Federation Council Viktor Ozerov said aggressive — while the Russian Federation does not require the States back to Alaska, the US can’t demand to give Crimea to Ukraine. And there is Alaska, which Russia itself has sold, is unclear.

Political analyst Vadim Karasyov calls gesture of the White house diplomatic maneuver, which should defuse the situation in American society. The expert associates the statement with the resignation of former assistant at trump national security Michael Flynn. We will remind, last fired 13 Feb — he in January, has not yet assumed office, discussed homoplasy with Russian Ambassador Sergei Kislyak. Besides the fact that such discussion is private individual prohibited by U.S. law, Flynn also concealed the details of the conversation from the team President that he promised the easing of sanctions against Russia. “It seems that the statement trump aims to bring down the intensity of the attack on the team and to defuse the situation. It must repay suspicions trump of Pro-Russian. But it is unlikely the US President have already decided on the main priorities for Ukraine”, — says the analyst. Yesterday the leader of the United States in the “Twitter” wrote: “Crimea was taken during the Obama presidency. Was he too soft on Russia?”.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM MUNICH. In the context of the statements trump even greater urgency to the negotiations of foreign Ministers of “Norman Quartet” (Ukraine, Germany, France and Russia). It was planned that they will be held on the sidelines of the summit of “big twenty” in Bonn (Germany), but yesterday it became known that the German foreign Ministry offers to hold talks in Munich, where from 17 to 19 February will be the security conference. As told “Today” the people’s Deputy and the head of the parliamentary Committee on foreign Affairs Hanna hopko, Ukraine absolutely does not matter where the meeting goes: “it is Important that will discuss the Ministers, and the results that they will achieve in the end. This is especially true for security issues after the recent escalation in Avdeevka”.

The representative of the German foreign Minister Sebastian Fischer confirmed: first on the agenda will be fighting in Avdeevka and the withdrawal of heavy weapons in the Donbass. In addition, traditionally, will discuss the implementation of the Minsk agreements.

Politekspert Volodymyr Fesenko notes the importance of the fact of negotiations, but warns to expect a particular result is not: “first, France’s upcoming presidential elections, it is not up to us. Secondly, new foreign Minister of Germany, Sigmar Gabriel, who will soon get into the swing of things.”

With the opinion that this meeting will be just “comparing notes and opinions,” agrees the President of the Ukrainian foreign policy Association Volodymyr Khandogiy. Another reason for the meeting, he calls the elections in Germany, which will be held in the fall. “Although, in my opinion, the “channel format” is outdated. In order to achieve results, you need to constantly develop new solutions. In this case, can help expand the format to include, for example, US or UK,” says Khandogiy. Criticizing the work of “Norman Quartet” made by the political scientist Ruslan Bortnik, noting that last year she was going as if by reflex, after the next exacerbation. “This shows the lack of prospects of implementation of the Minsk agreements in the current format,” he said. However, perhaps trump statements give the meeting dynamics.

The UN security Council: first resolution. However, recently, in Savebase of the United Nations adopted by the Ukrainian diplomats resolution on the protection of critical infrastructure from terrorism. The head of our foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin said that on the basis of this document, States should develop their strategies to prevent terrorist attacks. Recall that in Ukraine this month is headed by the UN security Council. We particularly raised the issue of protection of infrastructure and security in Europe.

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