Russia — Ukraine: and for whose account to bypass?

…At first sight, even not clear how “Mordor” could cause “the message” such a sneaky punch. Literally last night on the news portal Business Views became known that in 2016 in comparison with the indicators of 2015 the export of pork fat from the Ukraine fell by 98% (!!! — ed.). That is almost completely stopped, and the entire strategically-mental Ukrainian product remained at home. But no one on all sides of the borders nenki not to die of hunger, and in Ukraine itself the prosperity of something quickly…

That is, again, the shot was adjusted, competent, humiliating-sensitive. In the back, but on the most sensitive spot — the stomach, which largely determines the mental pride of the Ukrainian patriot, causing him “piratica” the most ancient on the planet Ukrainian “self”, which has no equal and will not soon be…

After all, if you listen paramilitary patriots, reflecting “the Russian aggression on the front lines of civilization”, that the wily Vladimir Putin’s hybrid war against Ukraine are actively used by the Buryats. Bronekopytnye and air underwater, vests, from the Pskov. Then, according to the most accurate and subtly inquisitive Ukrainian intelligence and almost forgotten, the people’s Deputy”informarticles” Dima Tymchuk in buried in the brain the helmet, they were replaced by the Udmurts. Possessing the same charming characteristics, but to be invisible, like the gopher that nobody can see, and it is.

Why is it I think the APU and dobrobatami fighting with the “hybrids”? And unknown. Maybe hot, maybe cold, maybe even some seasonal and temporary factors intervened. Doctors known profile because the claim that temperature differences and change of seasons (spring — autumn) adversely and unpredictably affect the immature brain and give rise to in the minds of such fantasies, Oh-Oh-Oh. Anyway, the acting Minister of health of Ukraine Ulyana Suprun, say, just not mind these people hold the law to permit transplantation and to sell the organs. And money in the state budget more, and fools for nenke roam will be less…

But whatever it was, a Buryat religion or Buddhists, or shamanists. The Udmurts in General, or Orthodox, or believers in some pre-Christian cults. But in any case, not Muslims, who have fat prohibit the Koran. And fat is an excellent and energy-intensive food product. Especially in the war. It will tell you, this bread, and bread, and if it melt, and then they drink. But f you: “the aggressors” — also saloedy, and has hit the sick and abandoned of fat. Ukrainian! The best in the world! Whether despicable of reasons, whether its fat they fill up what spravzhniy patriot, convinced that “unwashed Russia” will soon fall apart, and vspugnet from hunger, never, under any circumstances, believe…

Here and so. Terrible and other losses. It turned out that in 2015, Ukraine exported fat in the amount of 7.74 million dollars, and in the past — only 0,088 million. Minuscule! Fat was exported to Azerbaijan, Armenia and Kazakhstan which acquired Ukrainian products in the amount of 53,8 thousand dollars. Estonia, Singapore, Bahamas, Canada, Panama, Germany, Cambodia and Australia bought 7.5 tons of fat over 27.8 thousand dollars. And that’s all! The rest of the fat left the house, and you can eat it, wrapped in it, they Stoke the furnace. And, concurrently, to cut pigs, once strategic “drug” no one is buying, and pigs need to be fed, but without money nothing…

And then the terrible news came as a negative abundance opened in the Kremlin. Ukraine in all seriousness, despite the European choice and bezviz, loses its main geopolitical attractiveness of transit potential. First, it became known that Russia will complete and this August will launch electrified railway road bypassing Ukraine on the zhuravka — Millerovo. In the territories of Voronezh and Rostov regions. It is planned to build seven railway stations and five substations. Now Russia is “in the final stage. Train troops once again demonstrated the skill,” proudly reported the Deputy head of the Ministry of defense of Russia Dmitry Bulgakov.

The decision to build a railway bypassing Ukraine, to connect the Central regions of the Russian Federation and the South, the Russian government adopted in 2015. At a cost of 45-60 billion rubles. But to not argue with Russophobia-Ukraine, according to Vice-President of the Russian railway Oleg Tony dearly, “to have a stable, confident and independent movement in the southern direction.” The capacity of the site after its commissioning up to 240 passenger and freight trains per day in both directions. And Ukraine has yet to calculate the losses from such railway somersault…

Second, the “zrada” can wait for Ukraine and where the patriots almost choked with happiness “Peremogi”. This refers to happiness from the fact that the United States adopted the law on new sanctions against Russia, and in this act a separate paragraph stated that the United States oppose the construction of the pipeline “Nord stream — 2”, to save gas transmission capacity and energy security of Ukraine. “SP-2”, too, is to bypass Ukraine and if it will be completed in 2018, potentially reducing its revenues for the transit of Russian gas through Ukrainian territory. And the United States under penalty of fines has banned European companies to build a “SP-2”.

But the joy was in Kiev: a) short; b) it can generally be for naught, for “zrada” came from Europe, which US sanctions if frightened for a short while. The higher regional court of düsseldorf has lifted restrictions on the use by Russia of gas facilities of the Opal system, for which “stoked” Poland allegedly “dedicated to Ukraine”, and in fact protecting income from transit, similar to Ukrainian. As you know, Opal — a pipeline-branch, connecting the main route “Nord stream — 1” (already built the pipeline from Russia to Europe, is able to pump up to 55 billion cubic meters of gas per year) with the gas transmission system in Central and Western Europe. Warsaw with the filing of Kiev and in solidarity with him in 2015 also allegedly refused to Russian gas and decided to impose a partial veto on the supply of raw materials from our country on this route. And it is hoped that Europe in this debate will support her, not Moscow, as scared of monopolization of Russia’s gas supplies to Europe and arising in connection with this final and complete dependence on Gazprom.

But the court in düsseldorf, as you can see, decided otherwise — was allowed to use Opal. And now Gazprom is official and confirmed by the court the right to fill it to 50% and buy 40% of its available capacity on the free market. And as for this “pipe” is only the Russian gas, then it is safe to say that Russia’s monopoly on complete filling of the pipeline have been resolved. Europe. And it also reduces the transit through Ukraine, and therefore has (or will hit in the near future) it can afford.

But even this is not important. The decision of the court in düsseldorf, many observers and experts regarded as anti-American revolt on European ship. Against the latest US sanctions, beating the Europeans on the wallet. The ban on “SP-2” (the Americans, under the new sanctions, put the threshold at $ 5 million investments, which can make foreign investors a year to any Russian oil and gas project) is a financial loss for Europe. Five European companies Engie French, Austrian OMV, Anglo-Dutch Royal Dutch/Shell and German Uniper and Wintershall), who promised to invest in the “Nord stream — 2” for 950 million dollars, you don’t have to invest, and then nothing to. In the form of profit.

And it will be serious, because Europe is not going to be able to abandon Russian gas, and cheaper than the American, and — most importantly — already underway in Europe, and the us is just going to float in a liquid. And because of that, there is a great deal of confidence that Brussels will have a Russian one — will hold new construction pipeline “SP-2”. And this, I repeat, the potential loss of Ukraine, which is likely to be under the tail of the horse, which will set Russia…

Thirdly, the political scientist Mikhail Pogrebinsky expressed the seditious idea that the Ukrainian patriots should not so much fight in a paroxysm of joyful passion about new us sanctions, as they (sanctions) can indirectly, but quite clearly to hit it on Ukraine. “I have already had occasion to say that the growing tension between Russia and the West is extremely dangerous for Ukraine, as it deprives Moscow of the motives to restraint. Only our moron it was not clear, and they are happy the new American sanctions,” quite rough, but very clearly stated his opinion on Facebook.

In other words, sanctions can untie the hands of Russia in resolving the Ukrainian crisis by his side. In particular, and by force, if such an agreement is reached with the collective West, which more and more “tired” of Ukraine. Especially financial. And if the West uses it today as an anti-Russian battering RAM in the future, not excluded, will want to return it to Russia as… logistical and financial burden.

After all, what is happening now. Schematically it is very simple. Ukraine, deindustrializers and rapidly losing the remnants of political and — this is important! — the economic sovereignty, being used as a lever for the maximum weakening of Russia. In the hope that Russia will lose. And in the military, political and economic confrontation with the West. The West after all, nothing is lost. If you manage to defeat and destroy Russia, then we will reap the rewards, such as in Ukraine, turning the pieces of Russia into a raw appendage and markets. If Russia will survive, then you can hang on it… collapsed Ukraine.

The peculiarity of Russia is that she can never completely abandon the Ukraine. This is her ever reliable friend and partner, or a neutral buffer to Europe and NATO, or the rebellious “soft underbelly”, which always will come all kinds of threats to Russia’s national interests. And if Russia will survive and grow, with Ukraine, she will have to decide something. What? If Ukraine will impose on Moscow as destroyed and requiring a considerable investment burden and load, then Russia will have only two options of behavior. Or take all of Ukraine and return her to some semblance of a self-sufficient state. Either split up, to divide it with the West and to return under their auspices, only those Ukrainian territory, which she needed. For different purposes. And for their different natsinteresov. And Ukraine? And it is rapidly and inexorably slipping into what her opinion is and will not ask. Or to ask this opinion is not one…

…Rotten script? No doubt. But Ukraine has time to think again, and corrected. Another question: is there power, desire, and wish to return to common sense? I have no answer to it. But others answer. And how?! Workers and specialists of Russian Railways, who built the bypass branch, confident that even if relations with Ukraine will be restored and Russia will again be able to use the Ukrainian infrastructure, such new and devious transport capacity will still benefit the economy. That is, Russia believes that it will evolve and that the Ukrainian railway it can take. Hopeful. And there is another hope: the former saleena the “breadbasket of Europe” and buracona-rape “of the great agricultural superpower” can be a… snail. In parallel with the collapse of the export of fat from Ukraine in several times increased the volume of export of snails. And exceeded the corresponding figures for fat. So, as they say, forward! It is desirable, of course, not at a snail’s pace…

 

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