Is coming to Europe next migration wave

In Europe there is growing anxiety in connection with the ongoing immigration invasion. After was closed, “the Balkan trail”, refugees (mainly African) chose the Mediterranean route and arrive in Europe via Libya. The main ports of destination in Italy. Here accumulated the bulk of the refugees, then to disperse throughout Europe. This year the number could be over 200 thousand people. In General, the flow of migrants via the Mediterranean route increased by 30-40% compared with the year 2016.

The new President of the European Parliament Antonio Tajani has warned MEPs that in the coming years in Europe may arrive 20 million Africans. In this regard, Tajani called for decisive action. In his opinion the EU should create a camp for the reception of refugees in Libya.

Tajani called unfair system of distribution of refugees in the EU, in which the main burden fell on Italy.

Rome requires to deliver the distress of migrants in the Mediterranean ports of other countries of the European Union. Italy is asking for help, she asked its European partners to open their ports to ships with refugees. However, instead of real help Rome gets an assurance of solidarity.

Demands to end immigration invasion sound, not only in Italy. Vice-Chairman of the Bavarian Christian social Union (CSU) Manfred Weber proposed the use of NATO ships to block the migration flows and to curb the smugglers, “human beings”. Weber said: “Inhuman business smuggling mafia must be stopped, or at least by force of arms.” In this regard, the NATO ships are to patrol the Mediterranean waters off the coast of Libya. However, observers agree that without an appropriate UN mandate will make it difficult.

The main cause of the current crisis in the Mediterranean — the situation in Libya after the overthrow of the Gaddafi regime. The country is in chaos, the entire coast is under the control of armed groups and smugglers. For them, the transportation of refugees — an extremely profitable business, which involves organized crime groups of Europe and, perhaps, some humanitarian organizations. The head of the border service Frontex, Fabrice Leggeri accused international nongovernmental organizations (INGOs) in the promotion of smuggling. Picking up people directly off the coast of Libya and bringing them to Italy without notice of the relevant European services, the court INGOs actually encourage the activities of smugglers. It’s not baseless allegations, they are supported by a number of political parties of Italy and personally the former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi. The Prosecutor Sicilian port of Catania Carmelo Zuccaro said that the uncontrolled activities of INGOs renders meaningless all efforts to neutralize smuggling networks. Naturally, the leftist movements and humanitarian organizations in Western Europe categorically rejected the allegations and conduct an active media campaign in support of their actions.

Does the European Union any plan to solve refugee problems? Virtually no. It proposes a set of recipes, which often contradict each other. Among them — granting of refugee status only to victims of war and terrorism persons expulsion “economic migrants,” trafficking “human beings”, a fair distribution of quota refugees within the EU, economic aid to Africa, defending the Maritime borders of the EU, until the military lock “Libyan path”. However, none of these points today not executed. Only partially functioning monetary compensation to the countries which took the main blow “refugee wave”, i.e. Greece and Italy, but it is not working the quota system is a fair distribution of refugees among EU countries. Meanwhile, despite the Declaration in Italy continue to go the boats with irregular migrants. Changed the geography of migration flows: the majority of refugees, using the Mediterranean route, arrives from the countries of the Middle East, and Africa South of the Sahara. In the first place — refugees from Guinea, Nigeria and côte d’ivoire (formerly “Ivory Coast”). Reasons — poverty, war, epidemics, terrorism.

Meanwhile, migration is becoming global in scope. According to the latest (obviously too low) UN estimates, 23 million people in developing countries are in the stage of “specific training” and are ready at any moment to March North in search of a better life. Top destinations — Europe and North America. “Specific training” means that these people are hoarding money, gather information, contact smugglers, etc. In this regard, we can talk about spontaneous impulse “to leave” and complex logistics operations. Gallup estimates the migration potential is much higher: 760 million people worldwide are ready to “move on”, and 66 million in the next 12 months. The Director General of the International organization for migration (IOM) William Swing believes that migration will continue for a long time. In this regard, he proposes not to restrict migration, and expand them to facilitate the admission of refugees to the West. De facto- to infuse fresh blood in an aging Europe. The same default position is the European Union. This means that the globalist, neoliberal, pseudocholinesterase approach to the refugee problem continued to dominate the ruling structures of the West and international organizations.

So far only Eastern Europe is opposed to this trend. Absolutely irreconcilable attitude to the reception of migrants the countries of the “Visegrad four” (Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia), they categorically refuse to accept refugees, has entered into open conflict with the European Commission. And the Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orban built a border fence on the border with Serbia and actually blocked the “Balkan path”. Hungary has the toughest law in Europe, practically blocking the possibility of obtaining refugee status. However, a growing number of supporters of the rigid approach and in some countries of Western Europe. Austrian economist Stefan Shulmeister in the newspaper Der Standard has put forward the following proposal: it is necessary to deprive the refugees of the incentives for migration. To this end, to Intern them on the Islands (Lesbos or Lampedusa) without the slightest chance for further transportation to Europe. It will be the realization of successful “Australian model”. Secondly, to stop the “humanitarian madness” to rescue refugees at sea. When people will know what risks to reach Europe is very high, they think. Third, only the border service Frontex should rescue people and take them back to Libya, Tunisia or Egypt, even if these countries do not wish to accept them. In extreme cases, according to Shulmeister, it is possible selectively to heat inflatable boats. Even if a number of people will die, “deterrent” effect will be huge. In any case, the victims will be incomparably less than the five thousand refugees that have drowned in the Mediterranean in 2016. The main thing — that the EU has shown determination, but this should not wait. From a moral and political reasons, European politicians will never go for it. Meanwhile, the problem worsens: Europe’s refugee crisis leads to a rise in nationalism and right-wing populism. Migration becomes a factor of the global crisis as global warming and terrorism.