The “modernizing” impact on price growth, experts say, but only slightly. This effect can be 0.2-0.3 percentage points, says the head of analytical Department of Concorde Capital Oleksandr Parashchiy.”Pensioners will have more money on hand, some pressure on prices in the shops definitely will. Our speculators will always take advantage,” – said the head of analytical Department of Concorde Capital.
“Pensioners will have more money on hand, some pressure on prices in the shops definitely will. Our speculators will always take advantage,” – said the head of analytical Department of Concorde Capital.
To include the “printing press” to increase pensions will not be so sharp inflation, experts believe, should not be expected. Money on “modernizing” get for the expense of an overfulfillment of the budget of the Pension Fund (including by raising the minimum wage).
“Prices could threaten the growth of salaries or pensions out of thin air, by printing press. If such growth occurs at the expense of redistribution of means, he does not become an additional factor for the growth of prices”, – says senior analyst “Alpari” Vadim Iosub.
Executive Director of the International Fund blazer Oleg Ustenko sure much more on inflation will be affected by the rise in prices of agricultural products, the devaluation of the hryvnia and the beginning of the heating season. “The forecast inflation of about 8% in 2017. According to the results of the first half shows that this indicator will not be achieved. We can say that inflation will be in double digits. I think it will vary between 12% with a possible error of 2 percentage points. It is possible that can reach up to 14%”, – says Oleg Ustenko. Concorde Capital also suggest: at the end of the year prices will be 12%.
By the way, according to the NBU, in July 2017, consumer price inflation slowed on a monthly measurement (up to 0.2% compared to 1.6% in June) due to seasonal declines in prices for fruit and vegetables and clothes, shoes. “Actual inflation has exceeded the trajectory forecast of the National Bank, published in the inflation report (July 2017), which is due primarily to the higher projected rate of growth of prices for raw products and the increasing influence of administrative factors”, – is spoken in the report of the national Bank