Today, July 20, the national Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has established such rates of major foreign currencies against the hryvnia:
$ 1 – a 25.94 UAH;
1 Euro 29,92 UAH;
10 Russian rubles – UAH 4,37.
Thus, the dollar, compared to yesterday’s values rose by a penny. Thus, the rate still holds below the psychological mark of UAH 26.
The Euro fell to four a penny, that does not compensate for the sharp increase on the 20 cents the day before. The ruble is “recovered” by a penny.
Wednesday, July 19, the dollar on the interbank currency market rose by a penny in the purchase and two pennies in the sale, the auction ended with quotes 25,94 – 25,96 UAH/USD. Euro on the interbank market yesterday traded at 29,89 – 29,91 UAH. Today’s auction has not started yet.
According to analysts, the dollar exchange rate in the cash market in July may be in the range of 26 – 26,75 UAH. In the case of the growth of devaluation sentiments and external negative factors, can reach to 27.2 UAH. Experts believe that the decline of the dollar is a seasonal trend, but “green”, according to their forecasts, maybe even fall a little.
Financial expert Sergey Fursa expects moderate devaluation of the hryvnia in the autumn. “And more moderate than before. If we previously had forecast 29 UAH/USD. at the end of the year, recently we have changed it by 27.5 UAH/USD.”, – predicts a specialist.
Under the baseline scenario, Ukraine’s first three-year Budget resolution, in 2017, the average annual hryvnia exchange rate is projected at 27.8 million UAH/USD., in 2018 on the $ 29.3 UAH/USD., in 2019 – 30.5 UAH/USD. and in 2020 – 31 UAH/USD..
The experts at the end of the year give different predictions: in the Razumkov Centre promise a course in the area of 27 hryvnia in the second half, and Concorde Capital assume that at the end of this year the dollar will cost 28,5 hryvnia.
- For 2015, the hryvnia depreciated by halffor 2016 devalued by 12.9%, and for the first half of 2017 strengthened against the dollar by 4%;
- According to the “big Mac index”, the dollar in Ukraine has to cost a little more than 8 UAH;
- The historical maximum the official rate of the dollar – 30.01 UAH/USD. – was made in Feb 2015.
