While in most of the world celebrated Easter, North Korea celebrated the Day of the Sun. It was the 105th birthday of the founder of the country’s “eternal President” Kim Il-sung (1912-1994).
Thousands of soldiers, military equipment and, primarily ballistic missiles, put up for inspection the present leader of the country Kim Chen Ynu (grandson of Kim Il sung). But this parade of combat readiness of North Korea was not like the others. Not a parade, and a rough demonstration of intent. Proof: aggressive video in which a ballistic missile countries are destroying an American town during the concert. The movie was probably timed to the arrival of the US Navy aircraft carrier “Carl Wilson” and its accompanying fleet in Korean waters.
Closer and closer
On 8 April, the President of the United States Donald trump and other us officials told reporters that the Carl Vinson received orders to move to the Korean Peninsula. Apparently, trump wanted to demonstrate the readiness of the U.S. in addressing the crisis caused by the nuclear program of North Korea.
Following reports that a warship was actually headed South for exercises with the Australian Navy, showed some failure in internal communication. But the fact that Carl Vinson has arrived in Korean waters two weeks later, does not negate the prospects of military conflict between the US and North Korea.
The main question is whether North Korea has nuclear weapons that can be used against the U.S. and its regional allies — South Korea and Japan. While it is unlikely that the DPRK is capable of launching an Intercontinental ballistic missile with a nuclear warhead capable of destroying an American city.
The scientists of North Korea has not yet mastered the technology of building rockets to overcome that distance as warheads that remain intact after re-entry from space.
But years of testing has allowed the DPRK to become a millimeter closer to perform the most difficult scientific problems — to build and launch a viable Intercontinental nuclear weapons. Therefore, the United States to such an extent to seriously oppose the continuation of the tests.
It is particularly important that as a result of past tests, Pyongyang has been able to reduce the technical requirements for creating a workable ballistic medium-range missiles with small warheads. They are enough to strike us bases in South Korea or Japan. Only on these bases is 80 thousand American soldiers.
Disaster is coming
Perhaps North Korea has at least 20 small nuclear warheads for placement on missiles of average range, capable to destroy these bases. Maybe not. But trump probably doesn’t want to risk the lives of American soldiers, while continuing to hope for the latter.
The cost of failure can become life 80 thousand American soldiers, and also countless civilians in South Korea and Japan. Most likely, a nuclear attack by North Korea would lead to war and humanitarian, natural and economic disaster that will set back the international community.
That’s what’s at stake now. And it explains why the US continues to put pressure on China — North Korea’s ally — to convince the Koreans to stop the nuclear program.
But if China and other countries will not be able to stop Kim Jong-UN, the US will have to use military force to destroy nuclear facilities, which may be detected via satellite.
The decision to transfer the “Carl Vinson” in the waters near the Korean Peninsula could be the result of new intelligence about the nuclear threat from North Korea. The problem is that the very sending of the us naval Armada to the shores of North Korea could lead to a nuclear attack on US military bases — that’s what you are so carefully trying to avoid trump.
This may explain why administration officials said the dispatch of naval vessels for two weeks before it actually happened. Perhaps in this way they tried to test the position of North Korea without escalating the actual presence of American naval forces, which in turn could trigger military action by the regime of Kim Jong-UN.
A disturbing confrontation
Why North Korea wants to use nuclear weapons against us bases in northeast Asia? It is worth remembering that technically, North and South Korea are at war since 1950 (the Korean war ended in 1953 with an armistice, not a peace). And that the United States decided to provide military assistance to the South, to protect it from any aggression by the North.
In North Korea can be a very big army, about a million soldiers. South Korea is unlikely to pick up at least half of this figure. But most of the male population of South Korea could be mobilized in the event of a conflict, then there will be several million soldiers, and that analysts often miss.
Thus, American military personnel, their superb equipment, aircrafts and ships in case of war, give much more chances to the South.
Pyongyang intends to use nuclear weapons to destroy these U.S. bases — it will deprive South Korea benefits. So you need to take very seriously the threat to nuclear security posed by cheeky Kim Jong-UN.