Syria and trump’s relationship with Russia

On Tuesday, Secretary of state USA Rex Tillerson (Rex Tillerson) has arrived in Moscow to meet with his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov and try to discuss next steps in Syria after airstrikes the administration of the tramp against the regime of Bashar al-Assad (Bashar Assad) at the end of last week.

Syria is under the direct protection of Russia, which aims to keep Assad in power, regardless of humanitarian consequences. The US war against Syria by its nature, means the hazard of the start of the US war against Russia.

With any other President it would be pretty scary, given Russia’s nuclear Arsenal and its influence in the world. But even more worrying makes the situation all that happens during the investigations in order to ascertain to what extent the Russian government interfered in the elections of 2016.

In other words, trump leads with the game on the principle of “compromise” — despite the fact that the nature of its relations with Russia remains a strange and inexplicable

Even before the election trump was accused that he is a “puppet” of Russia — as I recall, accusations were made, including, and from the mouth of the Clinton during one of the debates. Some political observers prefer to use the term “Manchurian candidate”.

It is reasonable to ask, would a President under the direct influence of the Kremlin, to commit such attack on Syria, which would have caused a predictable angry response from Russia. Moreover, trump, it seems, carries out in relation to Syria the policy, which promised to hold Hillary Clinton’s not only during the election campaign, but in an interview a few hours before the missile strike.

The rhetoric in using the word “puppet” has always sounded somewhat exaggerated. We still don’t know what trump’s connection with Russia, as he and his aides don’t want to give direct answers, but it seems increasingly likely that a more accurate definition would be “dupe.”

In cases where any other candidate is carefully avoiding any Association with Russia, a trump pleasure in praising Putin. He also worked closely with beyond the generally accepted rules of controversial figures like Paul Manafort (Paul Manafort) and Michael Flynn (as Michael Flynn), which is a more professional candidate avoided. In short, trump has substituted itself under blow, giving Russia the opportunity to use me to destabilize the political system of the United States, but it is highly unlikely that he pre-entered (with Russian) in collusion.

It puts trump in an awkward position in regard to Russia. As the President of lacking the political experience and deep understanding of the world, he relies on the opinion of advisors. And recently, this increasingly means the opinion of the representatives of the establishment, dealing with issues of national security, such as defence Minister James Mattis (James Mattis) and the national security adviser Herbert McMaster (McMaster Herbert), who, in relation to Russia adhere to the prevailing hawkish, aggressive views.

Last week the ruling political elite consolidated power in the administration of the trump in damage less than traditional advisers like Steve Bannon (Steve Bannon) whose position in relation to Russia was more conciliatory. This means that no matter how “Pro-Russian” minded nor were the members of the electoral headquarters of the trump and the initial part of his administration, their current orientation is the same, what could be the orientation of the administration Hillary Clinton or any of the traditional rivals trump from the Republican party — for example, Marco Rubio (Marco Rubio).

On the other hand, this orientation depends on the whims of trump, which is unpredictable and constantly changing. There is also the possibility that Russia has dirt on trump — whether it’s information about the infamous incident at the hotel, referred to unverified reports or simply delicate details of his commercial transactions or contacts members of his election headquarters. But such things should not prevail over the President during the tense geopolitical negotiations.

And then there’s Tillerson. He as a former CEO of Exxon Mobil financially directly interested in the lifting of us sanctions imposed against Russia after the annexation of Crimea in 2014, which would allow his former company to make billions in the Arctic.

Many believe that Tillerson is the chosen thanks to its close relationship with the Russian authorities. On the other hand, in the first months of stay Tillerson in the administration of it was overshadowed because of what the staff of the state Department largely understaffed because trump is more and more often to shape their foreign policy military personnel — such as Mattis and McMaster.

Everything Tillerson expects to achieve in Moscow, it may be less important, given the influence of officials, tend to seek military solutions to problems such as Syria.

Some blame trump is that he is a Russian puppet, others that he is a warmonger. In fact, things may be worse than one or the other — he has no idea what to do, and anyone can persuade him to support highly controversial policies — including, in particular, Russia.