The end of the world as we know it

Across the week Donald trump will stand at the head of the largest economy in the world. Proposed agenda is likely to become obsolete and lose all meaning even before the completion of his presidential term.

Take one of the most favorite media aspects of this program — the crusade trump to draw back in the United States jobs, settled, for example, in Mexico and China.

One of my buddies diplomat, one of those talents that Brazil usually do not appreciate, in his brilliant analysis reminded about the approaching changes, noting the following detail: according to the world Bank, the international trade (another target of trump) and the transfer of the factories are only responsible for 20% of total job losses in the world.

For the other 80% (the overwhelming proportion) are responsible technology.

Needless to say, at our disposal there is some magical solution that would oblige to return the technology eludes us jobs.

And that my friend is a diplomat who wishes to remain anonymous, asks: are there people who, being of sound mind, think that travel agencies will once again operate as in the past? Does anyone think that accounting will again be held in the books by hand?

And concludes: what is really worth to think about is what to do in a world where almost no more work, or its too small, or too specialized, or low income. So that’s something. The destruction of jobs is part of the so-called “Fourth industrial revolution”.

We are talking about a “wave of discoveries due to the development opportunities establish communication: robots, drones, smart cities, artificial intelligence, the study of the brain,” says Klaus Schwab, founder world economic forum in January in Davos, gathers the colors of the political, academic, and mostly from the business world. It is symptomatic that the 27 meetings of the forum in 2017, directly or indirectly, devoted to the theme of the Fourth industrial revolution.

By the way, the discussion begins with the issue of jobs: “Promise or peril — solving future employment.”

The difficulty is that we don’t know if they have employment at some future. Significant, as recalled by my friend the diplomat that the party “socialist youth of Switzerland”, in anticipation of a shortage of work for all (perhaps even most), unable to gather enough signatures for a referendum on the introduction of a universal minimum income regardless of working or not (the former Senator Eduardo Suplicy would be happy). This initiative was not approved, but one way or another in some countries, the debate on this issue began.

The last of the 27 sessions of the Davos-2017 according to a new industrial revolution to discuss the release of “beyond the possible”, to quote the epigraph of the famous futurist Arthur C. Clarke:

“The only way to discover the limits of the possible is to be overcome in the pursuit of the impossible.” Not a bad offer, which, however, would appear to be utopian in a world where there seems to be political leaders with sufficient grip to these limitations to be overcome. The Brazilian elite, for example, including the academic community, not even able to explore the limits of the possible, not to mention the fact that for them to come out.