The threat of continental war compared with the period before the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014, of course, has increased dramatically. At least for the reason that the growing fighting capacity of one side of the Ukrainian armed forces is an irritant for Russia. On the other hand Russia has driven on the territory of ODLO such an amount of military equipment, which is not in some European countries. About it the correspondent of “Today”, commenting on the statement of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko about the threat of a continental war with Russia, said political expert, associate Professor of NTUU “Kyiv Polytechnic Institute. And Sikorsky’s” Eugene Magda.
“The President is obliged to consider such risks as the Supreme commander. The threat of continental war compared to 2014, before the annexation of the Crimea, of course, has increased dramatically. At least for the reason that the growing fighting capacity of one side of the Ukrainian armed forces is an irritant for Russia. On the other hand Russia has driven on the territory of ODLO such an amount of military equipment, which is not in some European countries. This is not the time for concessions, by far. So escalation is possible only in the case when she will bring some positive consequences for Putin. I at the moment do not see” – said Magda.
According to him, Russia will seek to expand possible areas of impact on the situation.
“And, for example, obviously if the US will supply lethal weapons to Ukraine, the “separatists” can start to spread the arms in different regions is sensitive to those whom they interfere. Maybe you could start to supply the Kurds or Syria,” – said the expert.
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Commenting on the upcoming large-scale military Russian-Belarusian exercises “West-2017”, the expert said that he does not believe that at the end Russia will leave in the Belarusian part of its military equipment and personnel.
“Exercises “West-2017″ – an element of a hybrid war. Of course, Ukraine should pay attention to them, as they occur in the neighbouring state, which can be called hybrid partner of Ukraine. Though Belarus is a member of the CSTO and the Eurasian economic Union, but its relations with Ukraine are of a qualitatively different nature than most allies of Russia. And I don’t think that these exercises will end up being on the territory of Belarus will be a certain number of Russian troops. For one simple reason. Lukashenko is very sensitive to the issue of sovereignty of their country, and I think he will be extremely consistent and will act as it sees fit. And it fully comply with Russia is largely a means to wipe out 23 years of my presidency,” concluded Magda.
We will remind, today during a speech with his annual address to the Verkhovna Rada President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said that Ukraine is that he sees no signs that Russia is ready to withdraw from the Donbas and withdraw from the Crimea, on the contrary there is more evidence of preparations for an offensive war on a continental scale.
