Mexico may retaliate

President trump represents well the kind of power over Mexico come the United States, and how painful can be the construction of the wall, which so violently opposed to Mexico; the taxes that may be imposed on Mexican imports, wreaking havoc in the economy of the country; and the deportation of illegal Mexican immigrants living in the United States, after all, bring them back to a country that will hardly be able to accept them. But perhaps not enough to trump a clear idea of what harm the United States can put Mexico, its people angry and offended by the ridicule and contempt of pride.

Let’s start with these deportations. At least half of the 11 million illegal immigrants in America are Mexicans, but many do not have any documents confirming their nationality. For their deportation administration, trump will need the cooperation of Mexico, which cannot be forced to accept deportees without evidence that they are citizens of Mexico. As warned by a former foreign Minister of Mexico Jorge castañeda, trump could collect hundreds of thousands or millions of workers, but without the cooperation of Mexico they block the detention facilities and immigration courts of the United States — that will cost very expensive and will last many years.

Consider also the situation on the southern border of America, if Mexico would weaken immigration on its own southern border — the one through which refugees from Central America have flooded to the North, almost in record numbers. Even with what American officials called an aggressive effort to intercept from the Mexican authorities, border patrol detained more than 220 thousand people.

They were mostly citizens of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador who were trying to cross the border from Mexico to the United States at the end of last year, exceeding the number detained Mexicans, which was reduced to 45-year low. If you think that border patrol is now loaded, according to the Secretary for national security John Kelly, imagine if Mexico, which last year sent home more than 140,000 refugees from Central America, just step to the side.

Officials of the U.S. and Mexico cooperate closely on a range of other bilateral issues, from drug trafficking and organised crime to people smuggling and terrorism. Informally, U.S. officials can grumble that their colleagues are not always a model of efficiency; but they also recognize that without the help Mexico fight crime and border control to exercise would be much more difficult.

Early in his presidential campaign, trump called Mexicans rape and mocked the Mexican government at every opportunity. Public humiliation can not be called a constructive element of diplomacy; it can easily turn into a problem for Washington. Now his contempt angered the Mexican people, improving the prospects of anti-American leftists in the presidential elections in Mexico next year.

Kelly, a marine who headed the unified command of the U.S. armed forces in Central and South America, at its hearing on the approval said that the partnership “with the South until Peru” is much more important to ensure the security of U.S. borders than building a wall. Together with the state Secretary Rex Tillerson on Wednesday, he went to Mexico, just after the Department of homeland security has released its new guidelines on deportation. If the goal was to expand bilateral cooperation and to calm the negative emotions caused by the tramp of our ally and neighbor, then the timing is controversial.